Fair to say that the market has made things interesting to start 2016 and there are certainly real concerns about not only the market but the fundamentals involved for these companies especially with the prices of commodities, impact of China, etc. When crisis strikes, great opportunities rise as the number of investors making “irrational” moves increases. This seems to be a great time to find bargain stocks and finding a quality dividend stock at 20-30% less than its price from a few weeks ago is certainly very attractive.
I personally think one potentially interesting way to play this is to look at consumer cyclicals sector where I personally noticed quite a few stocks that are trading at significant dividend yields.
You will notice that there are several very known names in there including:
Staples (SPLS)
Ford Motor (F)
General Motors (GM)
Six Flags Entertainment (SIX)
Macy’s (M)
Viacom (VIA)
Darden Restaurants (DRI)
Best Buy Co (BBY)
Nordstrom (JWN)
Toyota Motor (TM)
Abercrombie & Fitch (ANF)
McDonald’s (MCD)
I’d personally likely go for the clothing and restaurant names rather than media for example where there is a deep transformation going on. These are mostly offline companies but for online shopping consumers could head to http://www.cost.co.uk for example. I’d stay away from companies (such as Best Buy and Staples) that are directly competing with online giants as it’s unclear how that future will play out. Why? My main concern is that there are many industries that are being drastically changed by the technology sector. When you think about shopping for electronics, books, media, transportation and so many more, you can think about the “traditional” players and how quickly their world is being transformed. Best Buy, Barnes & Nobles, traditional media companies and taxis are facing a very uncertain future and while it’s easy to say they should adapt to this new reality, that is far from easy. Many have failed and are out of business while others like the New York Times are adapting as fast as they can to survive in this new world.
Another factor to consider when buying is the impact of a very strong dollar. An international presence is always a positive and provides additional diversification but I would say a strong US presence isn’t terrible these days either and will offer less resistance when converting those revenues (and profits) back to US dollars. Just look at this 3 year chart for US dollar index and you’ll see what I mean. This explains why so many companies are reporting currency impact as a major negative in their earnings.
While online shopping for clothing and food delivery is certainly growing and happening, I’d say we seem much further away from companies such as Macy’s being disrupted.
Do you hold any of these names? Here is the full list:
Symbol | Name | Industry | Dividend Yield (TTM) |
---|---|---|---|
IGT | International Game Tech | Gambling | 8.8 |
PSO | Pearson | Publishing | 7.94 |
LVS | Las Vegas Sands | Resorts & Casinos | 6.71 |
GEF | Greif | Packaging & Containers | 6.33 |
FUN | Cedar Fair | Leisure | 6.05 |
MAT | Mattel | Leisure | 5.92 |
GME | GameStop | Specialty Retail | 5.62 |
TIME | Time | Publishing | 5.5 |
TUP | Tupperware Brands | Packaging & Containers | 5.42 |
SPLS | Staples | Specialty Retail | 5.32 |
GES | Guess? | Apparel Stores | 5.16 |
WYNN | Wynn Resorts | Resorts & Casinos | 5.14 |
RGC | Regal Entertainment | Media - Diversified | 5.04 |
F | Ford Motor | Auto Manufacturers | 5.01 |
SEAS | SeaWorld Entertainment | Leisure | 4.8 |
GM | General Motors | Auto Manufacturers | 4.67 |
MDP | Meredith | Publishing | 4.63 |
MDC | M D C Holdings | Residential Construction | 4.61 |
IP | International Paper | Packaging & Containers | 4.5 |
SIX | Six Flags Entertainment | Leisure | 4.44 |
DIN | DineEquity | Restaurants | 4.31 |
COH | Coach | Luxury Goods | 4.3 |
GPS | Gap | Apparel Stores | 3.96 |
VIAB | Viacom | Media - Diversified | 3.84 |
AMC | AMC Entertainment Hldgs | Media - Diversified | 3.82 |
TRI | Thomson Reuters | Publishing | 3.81 |
PKG | Packaging of America | Packaging & Containers | 3.76 |
KSS | Kohl's | Department Stores | 3.74 |
M | Macy's | Department Stores | 3.68 |
VIA | Viacom | Media - Diversified | 3.61 |
SON | Sonoco Products | Packaging & Containers | 3.59 |
DRI | Darden Restaurants | Restaurants | 3.57 |
AEO | American Eagle Outfitters | Apparel Stores | 3.49 |
DSW | DSW | Apparel Stores | 3.48 |
CBRL | Cracker Barrel Old | Restaurants | 3.48 |
BKE | Buckle | Apparel Stores | 3.46 |
WRK | WestRock | Packaging & Containers | 3.4 |
BBY | Best Buy Co | Specialty Retail | 3.39 |
CNK | Cinemark Holdings | Media - Diversified | 3.29 |
JWN | Nordstrom | Department Stores | 3.26 |
LEG | Leggett & Platt | Home Furnishings & Fixtures | 3.26 |
TM | Toyota Motor | Auto Manufacturers | 3.23 |
CATO | Cato | Apparel Stores | 3.22 |
KAR | KAR Auction Services | Specialty Retail | 3.2 |
GPC | Genuine Parts | Specialty Retail | 3.14 |
ANF | Abercrombie & Fitch | Apparel Stores | 3.13 |
JCI | Johnson Controls | Auto Parts | 3.08 |
HOG | Harley-Davidson | Recreational Vehicles | 3.07 |
CHS | Chico's FAS | Apparel Stores | 3.06 |
MCD | McDonald's | Restaurants | 2.99 |
HSNI | HSN | Specialty Retail | 2.95 |
OMC | Omnicom Group | Advertising Agencies | 2.87 |
JW.B | John Wiley & Sons | Publishing | 2.87 |
WWE | World Wrestling Enter | Media - Diversified | 2.86 |
JW.A | John Wiley & Sons | Publishing | 2.85 |
TGNA | Tegna | Broadcasting - TV | 2.83 |
PAG | Penske Automotive Group | Auto & Truck Dealerships | 2.8 |
RENX | RELX | Publishing | 2.8 |
DNKN | Dunkin Brands Group | Restaurants | 2.8 |
MINI | Mobile Mini | Packaging & Containers | 2.74 |
WSM | Williams-Sonoma | Specialty Retail | 2.74 |
PII | Polaris Industries | Recreational Vehicles | 2.68 |
TVPT | Travelport Worldwide | Leisure | 2.66 |
MGA | Magna International | Auto Parts | 2.62 |
LUX | Luxottica Group | Apparel Stores | 2.61 |
YUM | Yum Brands | Restaurants | 2.59 |
ALSN | Allison Transmission | Auto Parts | 2.57 |
WYN | Wyndham Worldwide | Lodging | 2.57 |
BMS | Bemis Co | Packaging & Containers | 2.54 |
EAT | Brinker International | Restaurants | 2.53 |
HAS | Hasbro | Leisure | 2.51 |
HRB | H&R Block | Personal Services | 2.51 |
HOT | Starwood Hotels & Resorts | Lodging | 2.51 |