Posts Tagged ‘stock market’

Free Stock Picks April Update

By: admin | Date posted: 04.02.2008 (10:27 pm)

I usually don’t write about my stock recommendations unless they report quarterly earnings or some other important event happens (press release, news event, etc). However, I am going to start updating all my recommendations at the beginning of each month to keep you better informed on how each stock is doing and report on any important news.

Buy/Hold Recommendations:
CAAS – China Automotive Systems:
China Automotive Systems reported sound Q4 results on March 25 and the stock price has rebounded quite a bit from its lows. Today, the company announced that it completed its 35.5% acquisition of Henglong Automotive Parts and the transaction will be immediately accretive to earnings. China Automotive Systems is trading at a nice valuation and the company’s fundamentals should continue to improve in the coming year. I still think the company is a good buy. (more…)

Should the Fed Continue to Drastically Cut Interest Rates?

By: admin | Date posted: 03.16.2008 (9:53 pm)

Wall Street pundits are saying the Fed should lower interest rates by a full point at its next meeting. I think such a rash decision would be unwise and the Fed should actually think about keeping interest rates the same or lowering interest rates by a more modest amount, 0.50 at the most.

It seems the Fed has been focusing more on the stock market than the economy. Earlier this year global markets had a huge selloff when the U.S. market was closed for Martin Luther King Jr. Day. The Fed reacted by unexpectedly cutting interest rates by 0.75 percentage points the next day. It was later revealed that the selloff was caused by forced selling by Société Générale as it wound down trades related to its rogue trader Jérôme Kervie. The Fed, which is supposed to be focusing on the economy, overreacted to what the global markets were doing.

Now, with all the turmoil surrounding financial stocks (Bear Sterns in particular), analysts are calling for another huge cut. I think another big cut would be foolish for a couple of reasons and would once again show the Fed is being bullied by what is happening in the stock market. (more…)

Greed, Fear, and Greater Fools

By: admin | Date posted: 03.06.2008 (10:09 pm)

COIN – Converted Organics (Nasdaq) – (Closing Price – $16.59) 

I have referred to “greater fools” and the term “hope a dope” a couple of times and the company Converted Organics (COIN) is a perfect example of what I was talking about.

I came across Converted Organics on a day trading stock blog a few weeks ago and I have been following the stock out of curiosity. The stock price of Converted Organics has risen from around two dollars to the current price of $16.59 in the past half year. I am not sure what initially caused the stock price to surge but the stock price has continued to go up on sheer speculation.

Essentially people are buying the stock and hoping other fools will continue to buy the stock and send the share price up. The only thing Converted Organics has going for it is the company has an extremely low float (number of tradable shares). That is the major reason speculators have been able to manipulate the share price up. (more…)

More on this topic (What's this?)
Converted Organics (COIN) Bullish Triangle Play (Self Investors, 1/29/08)
12-30-11 Strategic Stocks To Watch CONVERTED ORGANICS INCORPORATED (OTCBB: COIN) (Strategic Stocks and Penny Stocks, 12/30/11)
Read more on Converted Organics at Wikinvest

Good Time to Short Financial Stocks: My Pick BAC

By: admin | Date posted: 03.02.2008 (3:41 pm)

BAC – Bank of America (NYSE) – (Closing Price of Friday 2/29/08 – $39.74)

Financials have been one of the worst performing stock sectors over the last few months and I think the weakness in the sector is going to continue. The housing market is no where close to finding a bottom, the economy and job growth are slowing, and gasoline prices are projected to hit all time highs this summer. All of these things are going to bode ill for financial companies in the form of increasing foreclosures and overdue credit card and loan payments. Consequently, I think it is a good time to short financial companies.

Financial companies rallied earlier this year when the Federal Reserve caved into Wall Street demands and drastically cut interest rates by 1.25 points. However, the rally didn’t last long and the share prices of financial companies are once again dropping quickly. I think you can take your pick of which financial company to short but I am going to give a recommendation to short Bank of America. (more…)

Silicom Announces New Chinese Order

By: admin | Date posted: 02.04.2008 (9:31 pm)

SILC – Silicom Limited (Nasdaq) – (Closing Price – $16.70)

Today Silicom Limited announced an order for $1.8 million from “one of China’s largest domestic server companies, representing its first significant penetration into the vast Chinese market.” The stock traded up over 14% on the news.

This is obviously a positive development for Silicom Limited and the stock price is starting to gain some strong momentum. The company just reported very good fourth quarter results and I wouldn’t even consider selling right now.

Some other stocks in the WAN optimization field that have seen undeserved fifty percent drops from their highs last year are BCSI and RVBD. These two stocks are definitely worth further research.

Disclaimer: I have no position in any of the stocks mentioned.

Time to Short Solar Stocks

By: admin | Date posted: 01.06.2008 (11:22 pm)

SPWR – SunPower Corporation (Nasdaq) – (Closing Price on Friday 1/4/08 – $126.12) 

Stocks related to solar power made a tremendous run in 2007 but they are currently grossly overpriced and overdue for a pullback. The insiders of most of these companies have been dumping shares like crazy which is never a good sign. Also, the market is expected to have a turbulent year so I think now is a good time to short some of these companies.

My solar pick to short is SunPower Corporation. SunPower Corporation has shown strong growth over the last year but it currently has at a trailing PE ratio of 631 (that is ridiculously high). For growing companies a trailing PE is less important than the forward PE but SunPower’s forward PE is also astronomical (126 based on the high range of their forecast of GAAP earnings between $0.85 and $1.00 in 2008).

While investors have been buying, the insiders of SunPower Corporation have been dumping a huge amount of shares. Insider selling is never a good sign and the amount of selling that has taken place at SunPower should cause a lot of concern. (more…)

More on this topic (What's this?)
Investing in Solar Energy (Investment U, 2/10/12)
2 Solar Energy Stocks to Watch (Investment U, 2/3/12)
Read more on SunPower, Solar Power at Wikinvest
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