I usually open new trades on Monday’s but lacked time to do the research last weekend but here I am today. Before getting started, I’m going to close 2 existing trades with one being a winner and the other a losing trade. Overall, the return of my tech stock picks has improved in the last few months but it’s always volatile so for now I’ll wait and see how things end up going. As a reminder, you can see all of my 2013 tech stock picks here. Here are the 2 trades that will be closed on today’s opening:
Long TripAdvisor (TRIP) & Short Travelzoo (TZOO)
Long eBay (EBAY) & Short Yahoo (YHOO)
Today’s new trade is one that I’ve done several times in the past few years, with good success mostly. I trade 2 job seeking sites, Monster and Dice. The rational remains the same on the trade. Before going further here are the numbers on these two companies:
Ticker Name Price EPS PE Ratio PE Next Year Return YTD Sales Growth Analyst rating Book Value Beta Revenue/Share Sales 5Y Growth EPS 5Y Growth
MWW Monster Worldwide Inc 5.55 0.52 18.07 12.35 -3.56 -10.39 4.1 7.6 1.79 7.89 -9.03 N/A
DHX Dice Holdings Inc 9.3 0.62 15.81 13.85 - 9.06 3.67 3.22 1.64 3.19 7.86 18.27
Long Dice Holdings
I’ve generally felt like Dice has been able to focus on a few key industries and has done very well doing so. They have strong niche websites that help job seeking candidates and companies in specific sectors find each other. That has been a working formula and the growth continues to be solid on all fronts. I don’t see a ton of growth coming but it is valued at a decent P/E ratio of 13.85 (based on next year’s expected earnings).
Next earnings release: July 25
Short Monster Worldwide (MWW)
Monster has always tried to be the answer to all. It targets every industry in almost every country. That is the type of thing that companies such as AOL (AOL), Yahoo (YHOO) and IAC Interactive (IACI) have been unable to do. It’s incredibly difficult to get that done, especially when a player like LinkedIn (LNKD) seems much better positioned. Monster has seen declining earnings and very low earnings
Next earnings release: August 2nd
Disclaimer: No position on either Dice Holdings (DHX) or Monster (MWW)














How Much Do You Need To Retire?
Date posted: 06.10.2013 (3:00 am) | Write a Comment
Your Own Number
ING made a splash when it started advertising that we all should know and work towards saving “our number”. As I discussed, I do understand that there are several unknowns, especially considering numbers like inflation. Even a rather small change in that number can have massive consequences, especially on those who have retired. That being said, I believe in planning, with the best available estimates. Then, over time we can adjust that number. It’s still better to have a number and adjust it over time than not having anything.
Where To Start
Before even starting, one thing I’d say is that there are a million different ways to do this. I will not give my exact numbers but will give some estimate here:) It’s important to remember that a few changes can make a massive difference, those can include moving to a new location which I discussed earlier this month.
Salary for my wife and I: $120,000
After taxes salary: $80,000
I think the main number to look at here when trying to determine at how much I will need. The first number I’m looking for is how much I currently have every year to spend. That number is my before tax numbers. I will then take out the following expenses:
-annual savings $15,000
-mortgage (should be paid by then): $30,000
-work related expenses (work clothes, transport, etc): $5,000
So that gives me a total of $30,000 that I need to generate before taxes assuming that everything else remains the same.
It’s important to consider that my tax rate will be significantly lower considering the lower income and some of it coming from capital gains. So I could likely be ok with $50,000 or so?
There will likely be more changes:
-govt or other pension: I prefer not to count on this at all as I think that most governments will have to break many promises if they want to avoid going completely broke
-travel: I am likely to travel more once I retire, so ideally I’d have something extra saved for such expenses
-sure I might have to move to a place with a rent at some point but the extra income from selling the house should be enough to compensate
So what would be my number?
I’m sure a lot of other changes that I cannot even consider now will occur. That is why my number will change every time I recalculate but that is more than fine.
What about you? What is your number?