Archive for May, 2016

Investing Rules for Binary Option Investors

By: ispeculatornew | Date posted: 05.24.2016 (8:23 am)

 

 

Investing in common stocks could sometimes requires lot of time and effort. I recently found a new investing vehicle enabling investors to start with little money and little knowledge; it is called binary options. Banc de Binary is a great resource to understand binary options.

Binary options explained

Binary options are relatively easy to understand. You need to create an account with a broker that will give you access to their investing platform. All options are listed with the expected return if you make a successful trade. You then select an asset and decide if it will go up or down within a defined time frame. The expiry time frame could be a small as 30 seconds and the amount invested could be as small as $1.

Rule #1 know what you trade

Since most binary option expires in a very short time frame, it is crucial to understand what you are trading. Selecting the right type of asset is crucial. You can select assets you understand and know how they will react to events on the stock market. This is the most effective way to invest in binary options. Conducting further research is advised as you don’t want to gamble your money, you would rather invest it.

Rule #2 concentrate on a small basket of assets

If you are trying to trade on everything you can, you will invest, and more likely lose lots of money. Each asset type has their own characteristics and you should rather concentrate on a few of them to thoroughly understand instead of barely know how each asset evolves over time.

Rule #3 plan carefully

Typically, you earn very strong return on your investment while you will lose it all if you are wrong. For example, if you invest $100 in a binary option, you will either complete your trade with $185 in your pocket or $0 if you are wrong. This is why it is important not to invest too much money on a single trade and to know when it is the right time to cash your investment and stop trading. Don’t try to “make up” for a loss trade by taking additional risk on your next one.

One last tip

If you never traded binary options before, a very good idea could be to open a demo account. Most brokers offer you the possibility to open a real account with no money. You can then start making fictitious trades to see how you could be making money with this system. It will allow you get familiar with the platform and how binary option works. You can make your rookie mistakes within the demo platform and get ready for real investments afterwards. By testing your trading aptitudes and strategy, you can see if you could make money in the real world. This is probably the best way to initiate yourself to binary options.

New Trade: Long TripAdvisor ($TRIP) & Short Yelp ($YELP)

By: ispeculatornew | Date posted: 05.12.2016 (4:02 am)

Today I am opening my 13th trade of the year between 2 stocks that trade at similar forward P/E ratios. It is the exact same trade that I closed earlier this case which might look strange but that is one reason why I do use stop losses. It gives me the opportunity to revisit my options and I ended up finding that my best trade opportunity was one that I had just closed. As is always the case you can see the existing live trades here:

http://www.intelligentspeculator.net/livetrades

Let’s start off by looking at the numbers:

TickerNamePricePE RatioPE Next YearReturn YTDSales GrowthAnalyst ratingBook ValueBetaRevenue/ShareSales 5Y Avg GrowthEPS 5Y Avg Growth
TRIPTripAdvisor Inc65.6764.2229.51-22.4619.743.0710.051.4710.3619.33-6.2
YELPYelp Inc25.31N/A30.64-8.6145.63.479.171.227.3657.8-133.32

This chart certainly looks terrible for TRIP

TRIP_YELP_chart

But this one from Google Trends probably looks worse for YELP:

trends

$TRIPLong Tripadvisor (TRIP)

I have obviously been a big believer in TRIP and in many ways that has been a very painful position as the continues to struggle being down 22% so far this year. There are many different stories about what’s happening and I’ve obviously been paying very close attention as it is one of my 3 bigger tech stock positions (with FB and AAPL). As TRIP continues to roll out its Instant Booking platform, it has gained steam in terms of having major partners sign up but that has been translating into shorter term challenges as it sends business to its own less optimized, less profitable solution rather than getting compensated by the likes of EXPE and PCLN. In the end, TRIP continues to grow its community and is adapting better than competitors to mobile so I do remain very confident in its long term future.

TRIP_YELP_chart (1)

Next earnings: August 4th 2016

yelpShort Yelp (YELP)

In many ways, YELP has been unimpressive in my opinion. When you look at recent trends in revenues and other metrics, you could say that TRIP and YELP are both suffering but I think the explanations and overall strategy of TRIP makes a lot more sense. YELP is an extremely competitive space facing the likes of Priceline’s (PCLN) Open Table, AngieList, Google with other major players like Facebook and Amazon looking to also compete in the local listings space. YELP has struggled to adapt to mobile and in a world that is increasingly going mobile only, that is obviously a very problem. I did get burned being short YELP recently and that is a risk with any short position going into earnings season but I do feel confident that it will not happen again with YELP.

YELP_chart

Next earnings: July 27th 2016

Disclaimer: This trade on TRIP-YELP will be done on today’s opening. I am currently long TRIP.

Closing 2 Trades (TRIP, YELP, PYPL, TWTR)

By: ispeculatornew | Date posted: 05.10.2016 (3:41 am)

$yelpThis morning I will be closing 2 different trades, one that has done extremely well and the other not as well!

#1-From March 7th, I had gone long Tripadvisor (TRIP) vs. Short Yelp (YELP) which currently stands at -33.94% mostly because of YELP shooting up following its most recent earnings.

TRIP_YELP_chart

$PYPL#2-April 1st: Long Paypal (PYPL) vs. Short Twitter (TWTR): I’m probably due for an update on my thoughts on Twitter but it’s safe to say that in the past few months, being short has generally led to good trades

PYPL_TWTR_chart

As is always the case, you can see the live trades of this year where the long & short portfolio stands at +10,35% (and past ones) here:

http://www.intelligentspeculator.net/livetrades