I’ve discussed many times how much I appreciate the arrival of bond ETF’s because it helps retail investors such as myself have a fair shot at trading bonds. It’s amazing to me that in this age of transparency and speed trading, bonds remain an OTC market where buyers and sellers pay wide spreads to enter or exit their positions without truly knowing if they are paying a high price. That has made life miserable for smaller investors who usually end up getting screwed when buying and selling bonds.
It’s Easy To Understand Why Things Have Not Changed
One big reason of course is that the brokers that buy and sell these bonds do not really want to move to electronic trading. Why? There are many different reasons but a big one is the fact that these brokers would see much diminished spreads/profits on their bond trades losing an important part of their profits. Another part of course is that listing bonds is much more complex than stocks as there are millions of listings with different features, etc. That would certainly make things interesting for the exchange.
The Case For A Move To Electronic Markets
I think it’s about time that someone launched a better way to trade bonds. Why?
-Volume is way down: You could argue that part of the story is the lack of volatility and the record low yields that are not attracting buyers. But that is only part of the story. Offering a fair chance for all parties involved would certainly help pick volumes up.
-Added transparency: In an age where regulators are seeking increasing transparency, I think that moving all or most of bond trading to electronic trading would do a lot to increase confidence
-It can be done: A decade ago, traders thought it would be impossible for futures to trade electronically as stocks had done and yet that is exactly what has happened with even the Nymex moving to the 21st century trading world.
-Good for the economy: If companies could get a more clear vision of what their borrowing costs are on the bond market, it would help them better manage their debt more efficiently.
What is the Downside?
Even if not all issues (some are very illiquid) became listed overnight, I still think it would be a good idea and would improve the overall bond markets. Do you agree?
















Reader Question About Beta Considerations In Our Trading
Today, we are answering a very good question that we received by email. As always, we are more than happy to get feedback and are more than happy to answer your questions.
First off, I would like to start by saying that this is a very interesting question and one that I’ve been thinking about but had not done appropriate search on the subject. Before getting started, I think it’s appropriate to explain what a “Beta” is in case some of you have not heard the term. A beta is the “correlation” of a stock with the overall market. A stock that acts exactly like the market (increases by 2% for a market increase of 2% and vice-versa) would have a beta of 1. A stock that reacts the complete opposite of the market would have a beta of -1.
I think it’s safe to say that the average technology stock has a beta over 1. These stocks outperform markets in good times and do much more poorly in bad times. The point that Kenneth makes is a very valid one and before looking at the data, I would tend to agree. Why? Because one of the more frequent ways that I use to select new trades is finding two stocks that trade at similar P/E ratios but have different growth outlooks. In such a case, I think it’s fair to assume that I would generally end up being long the higher beta and short the other one.
Why Being Long Beta Matters
In short, if I always own stocks that have a higher beta than the stocks that I short, it would mean that when the market rises, I would (all else being equal) gain and I would lose on market declines.
I am well aware that my portfolio is not “neutral” and it is not intended to be. Generally, hedge funds separate these two categories. Long/Short funds will have the ability to buy and sell stocks but have a market exposure while “market neutral” funds should be dollar neutral (beta neutral would be even better but that is much more difficult to achieve).
How Big Has Been The Exposure?
I decided to take a look at all the picks made this year to get a better idea:
Average Beta on Long Positions: 1.17
Average Beta on Short Position: 1.15
Surprising Result?
I’m very surprised to see that the beta is so close. I think what might have driven both Kenneth and my own impressions were trades like Long Baidu (BIDU) and Short Rosetta Stone (RST) which fit very well into that “beta exposure” example.
I’m not entirely certain but I will consider adding the beta to future trades as it will help me monitor residual market exposure to my positions.