After closing my trade on Priceline/Travelzoo Friday morning, I was now ready to take on a new one. I was looking at the two dozen companies that I currently screen through. One name that I wanted to look more into was Monster.com (MWW), which as many of you probably know makes money by charging employers money to either publish job offers or give up details of potential candidates. Even though the employment report on Friday was very strong and encouraging, I continue to believe that this is a very difficult to compete with. Many local and specialised websites have continued to grab market share in a market that is not exactly exhibiting strong growth in these difficult economic times.
What was surprising to me was that despite Monster showing negative revenue growth for the past few quarters, it continues to trade at a rather high valuation.
Another company that I consider to be in a similar environment is Ebay. In the auction/listings market, Ebay has long been the target of many smaller, free websites. That is of course what explains Ebay’s slim growth and gloomy prospects. I have written about Ebay’s
under-use of its Paypal unit quite a few times and in recent weeks I have started hearing ideas and plans for the lucrative unit that continues to dominate the web. That is very encouraging and I believe that Ebay can at least slow down its decline and maybe generate a few new revenue sources that can change the entire picture.
I’m simply not as convinced that Monster can pull off the same and have not heard much in terms of plans. Take a look at these graphs from Google
Monster revenue/profits:

Ebay’s not spectacular but still much better numbers:

And now for the graphs:


And yet Monster continues to trade at a much higher P/E ratio, something I truly do not understand. Therefore, I am ready to enter into this new trade between two companies that have many similar characteristics but Ebay has many more options to get back into a “higher growth” phase. Will Monster’s long term prospects be tough? Maybe not. But the current economic conditions will offer many challenges to Monster for the short to medium term.
Disclaimer: No return is guaranteed and each recommendation should be considered within the investor’s individual situation. As with any financial investment, there are risks involved.


It continues to be very interesting to follow the markets with so much uncertainty, especially surrounding the US economy, dollar and deficits.
Yesterday’s action was brutal on one of my short positions,
Last week, there was a plausible rumor that Twitter was going to start charging to receive certain Tweets on its Japanese website. The idea was denied by Twitter after all but I personally think this could be a good way to go. For example, I think few would pay to read how their best friend is doing. But what if you had to pay 1$ per month (or less) to get access to Ashton Kutcher’s tweets. And of course this would mean that Twitter would split the money with those “special users”.
There are a few examples of business models that seem to be perfect to build an empire and in my opinion, that is exactly what Apple has. They have built a line of products that were created initially to watch music (Ipod) but have grown to become so much more.
Why do I believe that? Because that’s when Apple created a business with major revenues and no costs. How often does a company have that opportunity? Here is one example sent by a loyal reader, but there could be hundred of other cases. Take a look at 

The ETF battle heats up…
Too many similar ETF’s?
It now almost seems like companies are now entered in a race. And that is understandable. How many ETF’s do we need to track the S&P500? Maybe having 3 or 4 might be good to increase competition. But there are many more right now and it is difficult to imagine them all surviving. For that reason, even leader IShares (now owned by Blackrock) is being very agressive through tv ads, magazine ads, sponsoring sports events and even through its own website, Youtube channel and much more.
Is Ishares or Vanguard the next Altavista/Lycos???
All of these companies know that it is still early in the game but it is also a crucial time for all of these companies. Remember how Altavista and Lycos were the early leaders in the search engine race but were then crushed by Google? I personally don’t think that will happen with Ishares and Vanguard because ETF’s that track indexes such as the S&P500 are fairly simple and cannot be improved that much apart from diminishing fees. That is a fact; ETF’s that track equity indexes are becomming commodities and like other commodities, prices are king and rarely is there enough space for 10 similar or identical products… It is all about becomming a successful ETF.
But every day new ETF’s pop up that do not track clear indexes. They either track more broad indexes or they are even active. I will be writing about active ETF’s (alpha) next week but I think that most ETF companies will eventually be launching those. And being seen as a leader in ETF’s will be a major step to help get those ETF’s started. How bad do they want it? US fund management company Vanguard (#2 in the US) apparently made a $5 bln offer for Ishares but Blackrock came out with an even better offer, making the purchase for an incredible $13.5 bln!