Intelligent Speculator

Free stock picks and stock market commentary.
Subscribe

Archive for September, 2009

Stock picks – Q3 Update – Back on top

September 30, 2009 By: IS Category: Investment Talking

baiduI can’t say I am disapointed to see the quarter come to an end as I am back on top of the rankings, with a comfortable lead. Actually, I’ve been fortunate enough to have been leading most of the year but I did slip into 2nd place long enough to actually not be first in Q2.

Choosing picks for an entire year will always be quite a challenge as so many elements can change. As I have discussed in the past, if I were able to update my positions right now, I would probably get rid of at least 1. But overall, I’m quite satisfied with the return and obviously with the ranking. I do feel like I was less aggressive than many other participants, especially those that went into these categories:

-Commodities
-Leveraged ETF’s
-Small caps

Many different strategies can work and I guess it’s logical to be aggressive to try to win but I did try to go for positions that I believe not to have much downside risk. And while for example I thought oil was going to rebound, there was just too much uncertainty in the world to actually think about taking all 4 picks around oil. So I diversified in a way. Will it end up being enough to win? Tough to say but let’s say I prefer being in my position right now! Without further wait, here are the returns of my 4 stocks:

The picks

USO – +9.34% - Like many, I had imagined that if the world economy could fight its way out of the recession, oil would surely benefit and while it might not reach the levels of a year ago, it seemed like a safe bet to expect a rise in the price of the “blood of the world”. I’m a bit surprised oil did not pick up more steam but I’m confident with my position and do think it has more upsize in the remaining quarter. It also turned out to be a bit of a hedge against those other bloggers who took oil stocks (although those who did usually picked a few picks so probably would not have helped if oil had been up to 150$).

uso

GLD – +14.25% – This was another fairly safe pick as I did believe that the uncertainty regarding the world economy would help take gold to new levels. As well, with all of the money that was pumped into the systems, many still regard inflation as a significant threat and gold seemed like a good bet in 2009. It has not proved as profitable as hoped but that is mainly because the stock markets have moved much higher and my two next bets were the ones that would really profit from a market recovery

gld

Technology picks:

Technology is probably the area I know most about and so I did choose two companies that I believed to be undervalued, Baidu (BIDU) and Ebay (EBAY):

EBAY – +69.13% – Ebay has been picked on for a few years now but 2008 was a very tough year for the stock and as I had wrote, I believed that most analysts were not picking up the value of Skype & Paypal when evaluating the stock. When the stock market recovered, Ebay decided to sell a majority portion of its Skype business, thus obviously “helping” investors notice how much the business was worth. Ebay even mentioned the idea it could sell Paypal. While that does not excite me very much in regards to Ebay’s long term future, these actions certainly do help Ebay’s current valuation.

ebay

BIDU – +199.13% – Out of all picks made by the bloggers, this is the winner so far! Bidu has nearly tripled as it continues to hold its ground against Google in China. It is now even thinking of expansion in Japan. One of the big reasons why I think Baidu had been undervalued was that many analysts believed that Baidu will end up having legal problems because of many of its activities. As I have written in the past, I think it’s important to remember that Baidu operates in a very different environment and for the moment, Chinese authorities have much bigger issues to worry about. At this point, I do not have many expectations for the 4th quarter for Baidu considering its already very impressive ride this year.

bidu

So these 4 picks give me a 73.05% return, here is the ranking so far. As other bloggers publish their articles, I will add links towards their analysis:

1-IntelligentSpeculator    73.05%
2-TheWildInvestor 56.78%
3-FourPillars 44.26%
4-Wheredoesallmymoneygo 43.01%
5-TheFinancialBlogger 24.49%
6-DividendGrowth 11.51%
7-MDJ 8.49%
8-MyTradersJournal -3.16%
9-ZachStocks    -13.17%

More on this topic (What's this?) Read more on Oil, Baidu.com at Wikinvest

Ever heard of the name Ashley Alexandra Dupre? Probably not.

September 30, 2009 By: IS Category: Uncategorized


But when you hear about former attorney general Elliot Spitzer’s high priced hooker, then you will probably have memories of hearing about the story. When it is said that no advertising is bad advertising, she would seem like the ultimate test wouldn’t she? She was a prostitute, sleeping with a married, high profile man. As far as getting a good reputation, we could say she had a disastrous start right?

But turns out, she is now doing better than ever. She has her own website, is launching her first record, is being invited to celebrity events, is being lured to write an autobiography, etc. I find it very interesting to see how well she is doing and to me, this is one of those ultimate examples that one of the only things worth doing for a corporation on the internet is to get attention. She has had some success with her song releases so far, giving interviews to the NY Post and would be sure to sell millions if she ever does write that book.

We had discussed Puma’s new stock index and if it would really pay off. I do see links between the two stories. One sure thing is that Puma cares more about getting attention for now than about actually selling clothes and that is probably a clever strategy. Will Nike and Adidas one day be playing catch up on the web or regret not being aggressive or edgy enough?

In my opinion, too many corporations worry about the impact of different possibilities on the internet when in fact, it is important to live on the edge, in order to even have a shot of being talked about, gaining attention and hopefully going viral. In a past column, I had discussed how I believed Pepsi was using the web much more efficiently than Coca-Cola and I believe it can have an important impact. Companies like GoDaddy are able to generate a lot of buzz and get their name out there while others spend many times more on marketing without much results…

A more “entertaining” way to follow stock markets

September 28, 2009 By: IS Category: Commentary

It would have been incredibly brilliant if it had launched a year earlier but is still a good enough idea to generate buzz and excitement. This is a perfect example of an attempt at viral marketing. The objective of course is to get people to talk about the video as well as the idea. Then, of course, viewers will either send links to the video by email, Twitter, Facebook or even discuss it on blogs such as this one. It is an innovative way to get more eyeballs on its website.

I would say that this video has a good shot at becomming a hit and with close to 200,000 views on Youtube alone, without even having launched the product officially, chances are good that this will be a multi-million visitor idea, and probably considered a success. The advantage of course is that the costs are so slim to generate such a video.

Now the big question of course is if the they will be able to make a decent return on their investment. Chances are they will. Right now, they are collecting emails on their website as well as getting their name out there which as you will see on my post Wednesday, is always good. The saying that there is no “bad promotion” is certainly as true as ever in this internet era.

What are your thoughts on the Puma Index?

Financial Ramblings

September 27, 2009 By: IS Category: Uncategorized

oil-and-gas-well-at-sunset6We had an interesting week in the markets with lots of action but most markets ending up down for the week and some already talking about a new crash? I’m not a big fan of the theory, but it should make next week very interesting!! Here are a few of the more interesting reads from last week in the blogosphere:

-TFB discusses the top Canadian dividend stocks as well as positions 11 through 20!
-Zach discusses credit card defaults rising and rising!
-A good post on GLBL about getting personal finances back under control
-MDJ: What is important about having m0ney for you?
-I did talk about fixed income ETF’s look at a trade on one of them here :)
-How emotions affect fixed income investors by Canadian Capitalist
-A great article by FP..how to find and select a tenant!
-Will interest rates stay low forever by TCT!
-Citigroup suing Morgan Stanley over Credit Default swap agreement..!

More on this topic (What's this?) Read more on Investing in Canada at Wikinvest

Ebay to do the unthinkable?

September 25, 2009 By: IS Category: Uncategorized

ebay-logo1In the start of the year’s stock competition, I had picked Ebay as one of my four picks and while it is not my best pick, its 68% return so far in 2009 has been impressive, especially considering how it continues to make bad business decisions. While the main problem with Ebay is that it seems to lack innovation and while it had many superior products, it is slowly but surely losing its lead in its different segments.

At the start of the month, I suggested it was time to dump Ebay after it decided to part with most of its Skype business. Now, to my surprise, Ebay CEO John Donahoe confirmed he was open to spinning off Paypal, which in my opinion is probably the most attractive part of the company at the moment. “When I feel the business will be better off separately, we’ll do what we did with Skype,” To even publicly talk about this is worrying long term for the company. Of course, this could help the stock short term as there is no doubt that there would be a long line of potential buyers for Paypal if Ebay was to decide to sell it.

The problem though is that discussing it publicly will probably not help inspire innovation or encourage those working at Paypal. Actually, I do not see much upsize in going out and saying this and would say this was probably a mistake by the EBay CEO.

One thing that is certain though is that if Ebay does actually decide to sell, I’ll be thinking about holding Ebay as the company looks for buyers.. but be sure that I would drop out as soon as the sale is complete, there will not be much value left in the company if ever they do part with their electronic payment segment which has been responsible for much of Ebay’s growth in recent years.

More on this topic (What's this?) Read more on EBay at Wikinvest

Feel like throwing money out of the window?

September 23, 2009 By: IS Category: Uncategorized

It is quite interesting to see funds flow in and out of ETF’s. However, it is often difficult to compare ETF’s as they often do not target exactly the same returns. But in some cases, several ETF’s track the same index but with very different charges. Why would you invest in a fund that charges over twice the fees if it targets (and pretty much meets) the same returns before fees. A very interesting case is taking place in the emerging market ETF’s.

One on hand, there is the very known EEM, managed by Ishares, that charges .72% of fees, which is high but seems reasonable considering it invests in many different illiquid markets. EEM has $31.7 Bn under management, a very impressive amount. But then consider Vanguard’s VWO fund which tracks the same index, the MSCI Emerging Markets Index. It charges .27% of fees, not even half of the fees charged by Ishares. Since it is not as known, VWO still has fewer assets under management, at $22.7 Bn.

The question of course is why someone would choose to invest in EEM when in fact you could pay fewer fees for the same return? One reason could be that you think one manager will not be able to achieve the promised return. In this case, both companies have a very solid reputation, both funds have a good history and you can look at this graph, there is in fact almost no difference between the return of the two funds.

You can take a look at the differences between the two here:

eem_vwo
As you can see, they are pretty much identical so paying 0.45% more of fees does not sound like a good deal. There are rumours that Ishares will reduce the fees it charges later this year on EEM but for now, with as the largest emerging markets fund, it has little incentive to actually do so. If two funds offer the same return but one has a better reputation, strangely, many investors fly to that one.

Of course, I would not switch based simply on fees to a new and unproved company. But Vanguard is far from that and I will be the first one to buy VWO the next time I buy emerging markets ETF’s. I have stated numerous times that I am a fan of Ishares, but not fan enough to throw money out of my window… Of course, if you would like to do so, be my guest, I’ll be sitting outside to collect:)

eem_vwo2

Internet Display advertising will explode…

September 21, 2009 By: IS Category: Uncategorized

online-advertisingI am fairly confidend that Google’s latest move could be a big one. Google announced today that it would be opening up an “ad exchange”, a digital market place for display advertising. This is a major move because up to now, advertising on the internet has been mainly of three kinds: search ads, text ads and lead ads:

-Search ads: the most obvious one and one that all internet ussers have used in a way or another. When searching on Google or other search engines, you will see two types of results; paid and unpaid. While the unpaid ones would generally be those considered the best match for your search, paid ads are ads that individuals or companies pay to have displayed next to a search result
-Text ads: There exist many types of ads but generally, advertisers use a third party to display text ads on websites. Those ads are paid either by click or every time they are displayed. These have been used in countless ways with users often not knowing that they clicked on an ad.
-Lead ads: These can be either images or text ads but are a specific category of ads where the advertiser will be paying for specific actions. For example, Amazon has such a program where they will pay website owners a percentage of any sale tat is made by a customer referred by that website. There are many ways to go about this but it is obviously a very important area on the internet.
-Another type of advertising that should have caught up more quickly but has not is display ads. These ads are more of the type of ads you would see on tv where advertisers are not necessarily trying to get an immediate action. A good example would be an for food, a restaurant like McDonald’s. Right now, it would be a bit difficult or tricky for a company like McDonald’s to advertise on the internet as what they really want is to show their logo. But without an efficient marketplace, it becomes very expensive to do so because a company like McDonald’s was stuck with going directly to specific websites such as Yahoo or CNN. By doing so, they would be paying a very high price.
But in my opinion, Google will do to display advertising what it did to search and text advertising; make it efficient. Basically, by allowing thousands of publishers and advertisers to get started easily with a very small budget, it makes it possible for smaller companies to enter the area thus making the entire pricing a lot more competitive and transparent.
It might not have been possible for a 1 man company to pony up 50,000$ to advertise on Yahoo, but with the Google Ad Marketplace, I believe that it will become a lot easier to start small with 100$ for example. Then, if the company can actually make a profit with that investment, it will increase its investments over time.
So yes, I do believe that this launch is a big thing and finally a good use of the doubleclick technology it purchased over a year ago when it purcahsed the company. I would imagine that within 12-24 months, this will help Google become an even more important central for advertising….

Carnival of Financial Planning 09-18-09

September 19, 2009 By: IS Category: Uncategorized

Best Personal Financial Planning and Personal Investment

Articles this Week from Personal Finance Blogs

Carnival of Financial Planning – Edition #107 – September 18, 2009

Welcome to the September 18, 2009 Edition #107 of the Carnival
of Financial Planning
.

The Carnival of Financial Planning takes a
long-term view of personal
financial planning for individuals and families. We focus on efficient
and sustainable personal financial planning practices that can lead to
lifetime financial security.

This edition
is arranged by subject
heading, so that you can browse efficiently.

Enjoy!

The Skilled
Investor
, Editor

Budgeting

The Smarter Wallet presents Internet Banking: Compare Online Banks For Your Savings Needs posted at The Smarter Wallet

Susan Savering presents Personal Budget
Expenses
posted at Family
Financial Planners
,
saying, “When you don’t understand how much you spend and how much
you save and invest, you do not have a financial plan. This
dramatically increases your family’s long-term financial
risk.”

Dorian Wales presents Budget vs. Net Worth
posted at The
Personal Financier
, saying, “While it may be recommended to
manage both a budget and net-worth sometimes focus leads to better
results.”

Economics

Roshawn Watson presents The Rich Get Poorer posted at Watson Inc,
saying, “The implications of this recent recession have been
far-reaching enough to put a big dent in American and world wealth.
Both the magnitude of wealth and the number of millionaires decreased
profoundly in 2008.”

20smoney presents Why Cash For (fill in the blank) Does Nothing For Our Economy posted at 20s Money, saying, “A look at why cash for clunkers and similar programs actually do not have any real effect on the economy as a whole.”

Super Saver presents Expecting Another Bubble posted at My Wealth Builder,
saying, “Low interest rates are bound to create another bubble.
Hopefully, by expecting one, I can protect our savings better that
during the housing and financial crash.”

Banker Saver presents On Bank Mergers and the Hostile Takeover posted at Banker Saver, saying, “Discussing bank mergers, takeovers and acquisitions!”

Dorian Wales presents On
Causality and Correlation in Economics
posted at The Personal
Financier
,
saying, “Causality is perhaps the most fundamental element of empirical
evidence available to economists. However, it is also the source of
many misconceptions due to its elusive nature.”

Estate Planning

The Financial Blogger presents Estate Planning: 5 Reasons Why You Should Have A Professional Among Your Liquidators posted at The Financial Blogger,
saying, “managing an estate is more complicated than simply writing a
few checks! Fortunately, for those who can afford it, you can name a
professional among your liquidators.”

Jeff Rose presents Taking Care of an Elderly Parent posted at Jeff Rose, saying, “Find of what you need to do when you have to become the parent of your parents.”

Financial Planning

Jeff Rose presents Do a Background Check Before Hiring Your Financial Advisor posted at Wisebread,
saying, “Are you looking to hire a financial advisor but worried they
might be next Madoff. Before doing so, be sure to do a background check
to see if you can find any clues that might prevent you from hiring the
wrong one.”

KCLau presents I achieved financial freedom at 38 posted at KCLau’s Money Tips,
saying, “This post is contributed by WaiYin, a reader whom I admire
very much because she achieved financial freedom at age 38! Here, she
shares how she did it.”

Woman Tribune presents “Can My Credit Card Company Do That To Me?” posted at Woman Tribune,
saying, “A list of current complaints from credit cardholders and
comprehensive answers about several current credit card terms.”

Dividend Tree presents Building Core Competency for Long Term Survival posted at Dividend Tree,
saying, “whether it is running a business or individuals’ investment
portfolio, it is important to build a core competency for long term
sustainability. In my case, I focus on good quality companies that
consistently pay or have potential to pay growing dividends over time.”

Four Pillars presents Affordable Refinance Program posted at Quest For Four Pillars, saying, “Making Home Affordable refinance program eases requirements.”

Patrick @ Military Money presents How Much Life Insurance Do Military Members Need? posted at Military Finance Network,
saying, “Military members may have different life insurance needs than
civilians. Here is information regarding how much life insurance
military members should buy, and some resources for finding the best
life insurance deals.”

Sustainable Life Blog presents The Real Cost of Your Car posted at Sustainable Life Blog,
saying, “Examines the real cost of your car when looking to upgrade.
Includes looking at repair costs and other potential issues.”

Susan Savering presents Personal Investing Strategy posted at Family
Financial Planner
,
saying, “When pursuing optimal financial planning and investing
strategies and controlling your costs and capital gains taxes, you also
need to establish a time-efficient system to monitor, adjust, and
adhere to your financial plan.”

Financing Education

Praveen presents Will Education Follow the Housing Bust? posted at My Simple Trading System, saying, “Tips for students to avoid excessive loans and debt”

Financing a Home

The Amateur Financier presents Financial Lessons: Home Buying posted at The Amateur Financier,
saying, “A guide explaining how to buy a home. Included is advice on
saving for a down payment, choosing the right type of mortgage, and
gathering all the people you’ll need to help inspect the house.”

Tallahassee Real Estate presents Real Estate And Lemonade: A Housing Market Analogy posted at Tallahassee Real Estate Blog,
saying, “From conversations with both readers and real estate
professionals, as well as reading of articles and blogs on the
internet, it is clear to me that most people do not have a grasp for
what is coming in this current housing market crisis.
Perhaps the best way to communicate these concerns about the housing
market is with a short analogy. An analogy is useful because it is
simple and easy to understand. Once we show the parallel between the
analogy and the real estate market, you will then understand what I
believe is a huge oversight in our nation’s real estate reporting and
housing speculation markets. So, without further ado…”

Alex Fotopoulos presents When to Refinance a Mortgage? posted at My Trader’s
Journal
, saying, “Some key points to consider when
refinancing your home.”

Colin Robertson presents Does Refinancing Hurt Your Credit Score? posted at Mortgage Tips and Credit Help,
saying, “Consumers always seem to be overly concerned about their
credit scores and what impact certain actions may have on them; perhaps
this is a result of all that clever marketing.”

Alex presents Is Buying a Rental Property Worth it? posted at MoneyStance – Money Making Opportunity Reviews.

Health Care

KCLau presents Withdraw EPF Fund to Pay Insurance Premium? posted at KCLau’s Money Tips, saying, “Vincent Lee from Penang generously shares an idea to use your EPF”

Income

Ted Reimers presents Best Companies to Work for after Graduation posted at CampusGrotto, saying, “Top companies that offer great advancement through the company as well as a good starting salary and benefits.”

FMF presents How to Respond to Every Job Offer You Receive posted at Free Money Finance, saying, “How to respond to ANY job offer you receive.”

The Financial Blogger presents What I Don’t Like About Mary Kay and other Multi Level Marketing (MLM) Companies posted at Gather Little By Little,
saying, “someone you know, a good friend, gives you a call and his
voice appears as a ray of light over your head; he has found a
solution, an easy way to make more money!”

FMF presents Community College Seems Like a Smart Option to Me posted at Free Money Finance, saying, “A great way to save on one of the biggest and most important investments of your life.”

Natalia presents What is Forex posted at Forex Signals and Forex Education,
saying, “This article introduces readers to the concept of Foreign
Exchage (FOREX). It briefly goes into the history of the Foreign
Exchange market and how money is traded by different participants all
over the world today.”

Investing

Patrick @ Cash Money Life presents How to Open a Roth IRA posted at Cash Money Life, saying, “Tips on how to open a Roth IRA and what to look for in your Roth IRA Custodian.”

Mike presents Best ETF Gold Stocks at BuyMyStockPicks, saying “Gold just hit $1,000 per ounce last week upon recent precious metal’s rally. Where is it heading? Gold is probably heading higher in the upcoming months!”

Zach Scheidt presents Under Armour – Fourth and Long posted at ZachStocks,
saying, “Under Armour (UA) has a strong athletic brand, and an
expensive stock. The third quarter is the most important period for the
company and with consumers spending less it could be a disappointing
time for investors. Consider shorting or at least avoiding long
positions.”

ABC presents Stock Market Indexes posted at ABCs of Investing, saying, “How different types of stock market indexes work.”

Praveen presents India Fund (IFN) Trade Example posted at My Simple Trading System,
saying, “An example of how having a trading system gives you
an edge, and let’s you take advantage of market moves outside of your
control.”

Super Saver presents Investment Plans for the Rest of 2009 posted at My Wealth Builder,
saying, “I’m starting to think that the economic recovery will be
slower and longer than current expectations. I believe the next couple
months will be telling. Here are my plans.”

Zach Scheidt presents Education Breakdown – An Expensive Short Opportunity posted at ZachStocks,
saying, “China Education and Technology Company (EDU) is primed for a
sharp decline. Investors have been programmed to expect the company to
beat quarterly guidance, but competitive pressure could catch up to
EDU.”

Tomas Escent presents Quant Investing posted at Nerds on Wall Street,
saying, “Think of this book as sort of a Hitchhiker’s Guide to Wired
Markets. There are no robots parking cars for six million years, but
there are robots trading millions of shares in six milliseconds, so
maybe that’s close enough.”

The Skilled Investor presents Personal
Investment Management
posted at Personal
Investment Manager
,
saying, “Investors more easily understand investment costs that are
directly measurable, such as fees deducted on investment statements.
However, many investors ignore or are unaware of the opportunity costs
of their sub-optimal investment behaviors. Opportunity costs are
usually much more difficult to measure directly, but these investment
costs can be even higher than more visible investment fees.”

Patrick @ Cash Money Life presents Best Brokerages for Roth IRAs posted at Cash Money Life,
saying, “Where should you open a Roth IRA? This article reviews some of
the best mutual fund firms and discount brokerages for opening a Roth
IRA.”

Dividend Tree presents What is your preference – Aristocrats or Achievers? | Dividend Tree posted at Dividend Tree,
saying, “The key question here is; are we willing to invest in
companies that have still not completed 25 years of dividend growth?
All dividend aristocrats were at that stage at some point in time.”

Investing Toolkit presents How To Find A Good Mutual Fund posted at Investing Toolkit.

Bob Schwartz presents Buyers Overpaying on California Foreclosure Homes | San Diego real estate market blog posted at San Diego real estate,
saying, “If you are thinking about picking up a real estate bargain by
buying a bank-owned foreclosure property, or a short sale, it behooves
you to pay attention.”

Curt presents High Price of Gold is a Clear Sign That Inflation Is Not the Answer posted at PennyJobs.com.

Retirement Savior presents Government Backed Investing – Investment Wish List Pt. 2 posted at Retirement Savior, saying, “If you think the best safe investments are Treasury and Agency Bonds, think again.”

Tushar Mathur presents Can’t Control the Markets? Try controlling the Costs posted at Everything Finance,
saying, “As 2008 proved, the financial markets are prone to
unpredictable periods of turbulence. That can make investing feel a bit
like a roller-coaster ride. The disappointing results that many mutual
funds posted in 2008 and at the outset of 2009 may have left you
feeling concerned over your financial future. You’re not alone.”

ABC presents Investment Real Return posted at ABCs of Investing, saying, “A simple explanation of investment real return.”

Frank Vertin presents Best Stock Index Fund posted at Best Index Fund,
saying, “Buying an S&P 500 index fund through an investment
counselor can substantially increase your initial purchasing costs and
and drive up your annual management expense fees. Unfortunately, the
vast majority of individual investors buy mutual funds and ETFs through
brokers and investment advisers. Rarely do financial advisors recommend
that you buy index funds with low fees. This is because low cost, no
load mutual funds do not pay them as well as loaded, high fee mutual
funds.”

Larry Russell presents Top No Load Mutual Fund posted
at No Load
Mutual Funds
,
saying, “Taken as a whole, the vast body of investment research studies
show that there really are better approaches to buying and owning
mutual funds and ETFs. You do not need to frantically chase fund
performance. Performance chasing simply does not work.”

The Dough Roller presents Summary of the Best Online Discount Brokers posted at The Dough Roller, saying, “Summary of some of the best online stock brokers.”

Dividends4Life presents The Dividend Freeze posted at Dividends Value,
saying, “As summer turns to fall and the heat begins to moderate,
winter and its freezing temperatures are just around the corner.
However, some companies have been frozen in place for the last year;
more specifically, their dividends have been frozen at the same rate
for more than a year.”

Managing Debt

SpendOnLife.com presents Drowning in Student Loan Debt? IBR Law May Help posted at SpendOnLife,
saying, “New options are avaiable for families and individuals who
struggle to make minimum payments on their student loans. A provision
of the 2007 College Cost Reduction and Access Act, known as IBR
(Income-Based Repayment), could serve as a much needed lifeline in
tough financial times”

Mike presents How to Get Out of Debts with Balance Transfer APR 0 posted at The Credit Toolbox.

Ray @ Financial Highway presents Basics of Credit Score and Credit Report and How often to Check posted at Financial Highway.

MoneyNing presents Free Credit Reports posted at Money Ning, saying, “AnnualCreditReport.com should be the only way to get a free credit report.”

Silicon Valley Blogger presents What Are The Best Credit Card Rewards Programs? posted at The Digerati Life

The Smarter Wallet presents Equifax Credit Report and Score: Review of Equifax Products posted at The Smarter Wallet, saying, “I cover one of the credit bureaus and look into the products they offer to help us monitor the state of our credit.”

CreditCardAssist presents What Are The Responsibilities of a Co-Signer? posted at Credit Card Assist, saying, “Some risks and responsibilities to be aware of when co-signing for a credit card account or a loan.”

oneadvice presents Losing Sleep Over Unsecured Debt? posted at One Advice, saying, “Are you losing sleep over unsecured debt? See how you can tackle your debt and learn to love the ZzzZZzz’s again…”

SpendOnLife.com presents Credit Recipes: Cooking up Credit Score Greatness posted at SpendOnLife,
saying, “Here we show how to take what’s in your credit pantry
(history) and bring it to its full potential with careful planning and
using your credit wisely. We share how to make the most of what you’ve
got with our recipes for Ramen Noodle Credit, Credit Primavera, and
FICO Filet Mignon.”

Miscellaneous

Darwin presents Best Places to Work: Surprising Survey Results and Analysis posted at Darwin’s Finance,
saying, “The 50 Best Places to Launch a Career Survey – Results and
Analysis that is both enlightening and surprising in many aspects.”

MoneyNing presents How to Break Bad Habits posted at Money Ning, saying, “How many bad habits would you like to break?”

Roshawn Watson presents Should You Buy A House Outright? posted at Watson Inc,
saying, “Suppose you find yourself in the somewhat unique predicament
of having the resources to purchase your house outright without a
mortgage. Is it then financially-wise to make the purchase?”

Tyler Tervooren presents Prioritize Your Sustainable Pursuits posted at Frugally Green,
saying, “When you’re trying to implement sustainability into your life,
there are limitless opportunities to spend money and time. Don’t burn
yourself out trying to change things you don’t really care about.
Instead, recognize what you really value in life and find ways to
implement and maximize change in those areas.”

No Load Bonds presents Bond
Index Fund
posted at Bond Index Fund,
saying, “Simply put, if you pay higher bond mutual fund fees, then
these bond management expenses tend just to be a deadweight loss to
you. The best bond fund buying strategy is to pick only very low-cost
no load bond funds.”

Retirement Planning

Mike Piper presents How to Rollover a 401k into an IRA posted at The Oblivious Investor, saying, “A step-by-step guide to rolling a 401(k) account into an IRA. Also includes some tips on pitfalls to avoid.”

Top Stock Index Funds presents Top Stock Index Funds posted at Top 10 Index Fund,
saying, “Buy these top 10 very low cost no load S&P 500 index
mutual funds directly. You do not have to pay the heavy added expenses
of buying through a stock broker, financial adviser, investment
adviser, or investment counselor.”

Risk Management and Insurance

April presents Gone Phishing: How To Avoid Being Caught By Scammers posted at Get Rich Slowly,
saying, “Taking the proper steps to avoid scams and identity theft is
an important part of protecting your hard earned money. This Get Rich
Slowly post was written by staff writer, Adam Baker.”

Patrick @ Military Money presents COBRA Benefits 2009 Economic Stimulus Recovery Act posted at Military Finance Network, saying, “The 2009 Economic Stimulus Plan includes additional COBRA and unemployment benefits.”

Savings

jim presents CD Rates Center posted at Blueprint for Financial Prosperity.

PT presents Open a Holiday Savings Account posted at Prime Time Money.

Four Pillars presents Back To School Cell Phone Deals posted at Quest For Four Pillars, saying, “Comparison of the best cell phone deals for students heading back to school.”

Taxes

Jeff Rose presents 2010 Traditional IRA to Roth IRA Conversion Tax Rules posted at Jeff Rose, saying, “Tax implications of converting from a Traditional IRA to a Roth IRA. Don’t forget the after-tax contributions.”

Tom Drake presents How To Calculate Your Adjusted Cost Base (ACB) | The Canadian Finance Blog posted at The Canadian Finance Blog,
saying, “Calculating your adjusted cost base (ACB) is necessary to
determine the true cost of your investments for capital gains and
losses.”

Jeff Rose presents American Opportunity Tax Credit For College posted at Jeff Rose, saying, “The American Opportunity tax credit is a nice step up for parents with kids in college.”

That
concludes this
edition. Submit
your blog article to the next edition of
Carnival of Financial Planning using our
carnival
submission form
.
Past posts and future hosts can be found on our
blog
carnival index page
.

Technorati tags:
, .

Is the worst to come for emerging countries?

September 18, 2009 By: IS Category: Uncategorized

polandflagIt has been written about somewhat but continues to be ignored by most.. There will be consequences to the massive actions taken by worldwide governments to avoid the collapse of the world economy. Governments around the world have spent or promised tens and hundreds of billions of dollars to stimulate their domestic economies. Of course, since governments main revenues are tax inflows they receive less revenues when the economy slowdowns. Add to that spending that increased and it is easy to imagine how not only the American government is running huge deficits. Poland, the most important country in Central/Eastern Europe by many measures has announced it projects a $20 billion deficit in 2010.

When governments run deficits, they must of course borrow and in almost all cases (except for the very very poor) that is done by issuing debt (bonds). So if all governments are issuing record amounts of debt at the same time, there can be issues to actually sell that debt with two major consequences:

-when the regular bond holders are done buying, governments must attract new ones, generally by raising the interest rates paid which for some countries can be manageable but for some others creates critical situations

-there will also be many countries that will simply be unable to sell their bonds because there is so much offer compared to the number of buyers. There have been signs that it would start to occur sooner than later but it still came to a surprise to many to see Poland being unable to sell over half of its bond issue last week. BNP Paribas has recommended selling Poland’s bonds which caused even more panic in the Central Europe country. “This is a direct consequence of a very dangerous fiscal outlook presented in the 2010 budget draft. We recommend selling Polish bonds across the curve”.

Poland has not been performing greatly in this recession but it is also far from the worst so if they are having trouble selling their bonds, are other emerging countries in trouble? Other countries in central and eastern Europe as well as in Asia are in much more critical situations and might need some help sooner rather than later.

One solution that has been discussed has been for organisations such as the World Bank and the IMF to provide loans for such countries but again the question remains; where will the funds come from? These organisations have been funded by the same countries that are suffering from deficits in the past few months/years! It will be interesting to see how this and future crisis will be dealt with but there is probably a lot more pain to come…

Adobe late in the game…

September 17, 2009 By: IS Category: Uncategorized

adobe-logoAdobe just made a very surprising acquisition yesterday as it confirmed it had agreed to buy Omniture Inc for $1.8 billion. The announcement was met with skepticism as the stock lost 6,4% of its value during the day despite the Nasdaq being up 1,42%, quite an underperformance. As in any move, there are many reasons for the major drop.
First off of course would be the very expensive price Adobe ended up paying as it paid 24% over Thursday’s closing price of Omniture, which honestly I do not understand at all. It seems improbable that Adobe had to pay such a premium for a company that did not seem to have that many potential acquirers running after it. There are obvious reasons to pay a little over market value in order to be able to close the deal more easily. However, paying 24% over the price seems like an excess.
The second and even more concerning reason in my opinion is the logic behind the purchase. Omniture provides expertise that will help Adobe enter the analytics area. Michael Olson, a Piper Jaffray analyst said that Adobe was trying to diversify beyond being a just a maker of development tools. That could make sense. But entering the analytics area where it will directly compete with many other high profile competition does not sound like the best decision Adobe could make. When speaking about analytics, we increasingly think of Google which offers a very sophisticated product free of cost. Of course that makes it very difficult to compete. If the goal was to help its customers get more accurate information about their advertising performance, it would seem to me like there are cheaper ways to get this done than doing an acquisition….
Once more, this is probably a panic move as Adobe saw its revenues decline 21% in the period that ended August 21st.. I don’t know about you but personally, I’d stay away from a company that seems to be this desperate..
adbe1

More on this topic (What's this?) Read more on Adobe Systems, Omniture at Wikinvest
Get Adobe Flash playerPlugin by wpburn.com wordpress themes