I can’t say I am disapointed to see the quarter come to an end as I am back on top of the rankings, with a comfortable lead. Actually, I’ve been fortunate enough to have been leading most of the year but I did slip into 2nd place long enough to actually not be first in Q2.
Choosing picks for an entire year will always be quite a challenge as so many elements can change. As I have discussed in the past, if I were able to update my positions right now, I would probably get rid of at least 1. But overall, I’m quite satisfied with the return and obviously with the ranking. I do feel like I was less aggressive than many other participants, especially those that went into these categories:
-Commodities
-Leveraged ETF’s
-Small caps
Many different strategies can work and I guess it’s logical to be aggressive to try to win but I did try to go for positions that I believe not to have much downside risk. And while for example I thought oil was going to rebound, there was just too much uncertainty in the world to actually think about taking all 4 picks around oil. So I diversified in a way. Will it end up being enough to win? Tough to say but let’s say I prefer being in my position right now! Without further wait, here are the returns of my 4 stocks:
The picks
USO – +9.34% - Like many, I had imagined that if the world economy could fight its way out of the recession, oil would surely benefit and while it might not reach the levels of a year ago, it seemed like a safe bet to expect a rise in the price of the “blood of the world”. I’m a bit surprised oil did not pick up more steam but I’m confident with my position and do think it has more upsize in the remaining quarter. It also turned out to be a bit of a hedge against those other bloggers who took oil stocks (although those who did usually picked a few picks so probably would not have helped if oil had been up to 150$).

GLD – +14.25% – This was another fairly safe pick as I did believe that the uncertainty regarding the world economy would help take gold to new levels. As well, with all of the money that was pumped into the systems, many still regard inflation as a significant threat and gold seemed like a good bet in 2009. It has not proved as profitable as hoped but that is mainly because the stock markets have moved much higher and my two next bets were the ones that would really profit from a market recovery

Technology picks:
Technology is probably the area I know most about and so I did choose two companies that I believed to be undervalued, Baidu (BIDU) and Ebay (EBAY):
EBAY – +69.13% – Ebay has been picked on for a few years now but 2008 was a very tough year for the stock and as I had wrote, I believed that most analysts were not picking up the value of Skype & Paypal when evaluating the stock. When the stock market recovered, Ebay decided to sell a majority portion of its Skype business, thus obviously “helping” investors notice how much the business was worth. Ebay even mentioned the idea it could sell Paypal. While that does not excite me very much in regards to Ebay’s long term future, these actions certainly do help Ebay’s current valuation.

BIDU – +199.13% – Out of all picks made by the bloggers, this is the winner so far! Bidu has nearly tripled as it continues to hold its ground against Google in China. It is now even thinking of expansion in Japan. One of the big reasons why I think Baidu had been undervalued was that many analysts believed that Baidu will end up having legal problems because of many of its activities. As I have written in the past, I think it’s important to remember that Baidu operates in a very different environment and for the moment, Chinese authorities have much bigger issues to worry about. At this point, I do not have many expectations for the 4th quarter for Baidu considering its already very impressive ride this year.

So these 4 picks give me a 73.05% return, here is the ranking so far. As other bloggers publish their articles, I will add links towards their analysis:
1-IntelligentSpeculator 73.05%
2-TheWildInvestor 56.78%
3-FourPillars 44.26%
4-Wheredoesallmymoneygo 43.01%
5-TheFinancialBlogger 24.49%
6-DividendGrowth 11.51%
7-MDJ 8.49%
8-MyTradersJournal -3.16%
9-ZachStocks -13.17%



We had an interesting week in the markets with lots of action but most markets ending up down for the week and some already talking about a new crash? I’m not a big fan of the theory, but it should make next week very interesting!! Here are a few of the more interesting reads from last week in the blogosphere:
In the start of the year’s
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I am fairly confident that Google’s latest move could be a big one. Google announced today that it would be opening up an “ad exchange”, a digital market place for display advertising. This is a major move because up to now, advertising on the internet has been mainly of three kinds: search ads, text ads and lead ads:
It has been written about somewhat but continues to be ignored by most.. There will be consequences to the massive actions taken by worldwide governments to avoid the collapse of the world economy. Governments around the world have spent or promised tens and hundreds of billions of dollars to stimulate their domestic economies. Of course, since governments main revenues are tax inflows they receive less revenues when the economy slowdowns. Add to that spending that increased and it is easy to imagine how not only the American government is running huge deficits. Poland, the most important country in Central/Eastern Europe by many measures has announced it projects a $20 billion deficit in 2010.




Ever heard of the name Ashley Alexandra Dupre? Probably not.
But when you hear about former attorney general Elliot Spitzer’s high priced hooker, then you will probably have memories of hearing about the story. When it is said that no advertising is bad advertising, she would seem like the ultimate test wouldn’t she? She was a prostitute, sleeping with a married, high profile man. As far as getting a good reputation, we could say she had a disastrous start right?
But turns out, she is now doing better than ever. She has her own website, is launching her first record, is being invited to celebrity events, is being lured to write an autobiography, etc. I find it very interesting to see how well she is doing and to me, this is one of those ultimate examples that one of the only things worth doing for a corporation on the internet is to get attention. She has had some success with her song releases so far, giving interviews to the NY Post and would be sure to sell millions if she ever does write that book.
We had discussed Puma’s new stock index and if it would really pay off. I do see links between the two stories. One sure thing is that Puma cares more about getting attention for now than about actually selling clothes and that is probably a clever strategy. Will Nike and Adidas one day be playing catch up on the web or regret not being aggressive or edgy enough?
In my opinion, too many corporations worry about the impact of different possibilities on the internet when in fact, it is important to live on the edge, in order to even have a shot of being talked about, gaining attention and hopefully going viral. In a past column, I had discussed how I believed Pepsi was using the web much more efficiently than Coca-Cola and I believe it can have an important impact. Companies like GoDaddy are able to generate a lot of buzz and get their name out there while others spend many times more on marketing without much results…