With only 4 trades currently in, I finally got a chance today to go over numbers of a few more and decided to enter a new trade, going long Google vs Short IACI. This is basically a play on a downturn of internet advertising that is affecting IACI a lot more than it is Google.
Google, now an internet heavyweight announced its earnings a few hours ago, coming in with earnings per share of 1.21$ in its first ever quarterly decline as its results are down 67% from the same period last year. It is becomming very clear that the impact of the economic downturn is hurting the advertising business very badly as major companies are cutting their expenses, advertising being one of the easiest ones to accomplish, especially when rivals are doing the same. I am starting to see the impact of this in our internet businesses and it is increasingly clear that the whole industry is getting hurt badly. However, Google seems poised to be hurt less severely mainly for 2 reasons:
- Up until a few months ago, Google was still more in a growth mode than in a monetization mode and that now makes a major difference. Many sections of Google did not contain any advertisements and so the recent drop in ad rates has been partly compensated by the new available spots in areas such as Google Finance or Google Maps. The recent results reflect part of this but not entirely. Another major example would be Youtube. There are no doubts that so far the acquisition by Google has not been profitable but you would have to admit that they were not putting as much energy into it either. Since its start, Google has done business by allowing new products to first gain important market share, get its users hooked and then once that happens, start to introduce ways to generate revenue streams. They seem to be slowly moving in that direction now and that will give them a major advantage in battling this downturn.
- Google has been very innovative in how its ads are displayed and while ads displayed next to searches are still the major part of their revenues, they have been gradually adding ads in videos, in RSS feeds, on mobile content, in maps, etc. This enables them to offer a vast range of advertising options.
IAC/InteractiveCorp on the other hand is one of the most intriguing companies on the internet in that it has owned fabulous properties for a long time but has never been able to truly find its identity. When it did the spinoff of Expedia(EXPE), it was mainly to concentrate on Ask.com, its failed effort to challenge Google in the search business. After putting up massive efforts and amounts of money, IACI finally quit the race and decided to concentrate on other businesses.
But as diverisified as IACI is trying to be, they are getting hit very hard in their main areas:
-Dating: The internet dating industry is going to major changes as the business model is being revisited with many major players deciding to go back to the free model, as they are unable to compete with some other websites that offer the same service without fees. Match.com, owned by IACI will be hit hard by this and have a difficult time generating much profits.
-Search: This will have a slowdown and I would expect Ask.com to be hit more severely than Google simply because many advertisers on Ask are actually using their traffic to send back to Google (pay per click arbitrage).
-Local web: This is one area where I think InteractiveCorp might do better, it is a promising area and they do have solid properties. Their problem is that they are losing market share to Google who has a more important presence on phones, etc and have been expanding their services greatly.
Disclaimer: Author does not have any positions in GOOG or IACI
Executives are using private jets, so what?
I am usually a fairly moderate person and while I would not consider myself to always agree with political right views, I usually do. While I do not usually agree with left wing views regarding the economy, I can usually understand the logic behind them in cases involving unions for examples. I do not often agree, but I can have a conversation with an opponent and get their point. But recently, especially in this financial crisis, I have been increasingly hearing the arguments and accusations towards the high paid executives for using corporate private jets instead of using couch seats on commercial airplanes.
There have been numerous accusations but the most vocal ones have come during the very public hearings of the US auto executives. I will not stand here and say that their actions over the past few years were justified, but to blame them for the taking the trip from Detroit to Washington by corporate jet instead of by driving is ridiculous in my opinion and yet we have very rarely heard any opposite opinion in the media.
However, the calculations seem so easy to understand here. Let’s not argue (at least not right now) on the pay of executives and if it is justified or not. But let’s just take raw numbers. Imagine that an executive has an annual salary of $10 millions. Could be higher or lower but let’s use that number. Ok so imagine that our executive has no vacations, here is the breakdown:
Annual salary: $10,000,000 USD
Weekly salary: $192,308 USD
Daily salary: $38,462 USD
Now let’s just count it down. Is you use your car, it will obviously take a while to go, perhaps half a day, which is worth about $20K. And the same reasoning works for commercial airlines. Even if the flight was to cost $20K, wouldn’t it still be worth it? Personally, I would prefer having that executive, even if paid by the government as in many banks right now, to be working on a recovery plan for his bank than waiting in line in an airport, I would feel that my money is better used if he can actually be productive while working aboard his jet.
Is the executive better than me? I would think not! But is his time worth more thann mine? Economically? Absolutely!! Do you look down on someone paying others to clean their house? How is it different really? I’m not saying there is no abuse but generally I think it is well used…What do you think? Don’t you agree that the (mostly) left wing media often only shows one portion of the story?